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- Written by: J C Burke
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DRAX - What Colour Elephant is this - White, Black or Wood Veneer?
Preamble
This appraisal follows on from DRAX and Dirty Secrets: A 50-Year Testament to Thermodynamic Waste, published on Sun Earth Energy on 12 February 2026. That article has had 664 reads to date.
The earlier piece is written from direct industrial experience. In 1975 the author was on placement with Norwest Holst in Leeds, planning the cooling towers for the new Drax station, which was built on the Selby coalfield to burn its coal. Around 1979–80, as tender planning engineer for Turriff Construction (Warwick), he delivered the bid for the Selby coalfield's above-ground works to NCB headquarters. He then drove back to Warwick through heavy snow, reaching the M1 just before it was closed. That article set out the long view: centralised power stations that dump most of their fuel energy as waste heat, the acid rain Yorkshire coal sent to Scandinavia, and the case for decentralised combined heat and power.
This document narrows the focus to the financial and carbon accounting of the coal-to-biomass conversion. It updates the figures with data published since February: 2025 subsidies of £999m, cumulative support of £8.72bn, the signed 2027–31 contract, and Drax's retreat from carbon capture (BECCS).
Updates to figures in the February article: the post-2027 support is a four-year contract to March 2031 at roughly half the previous subsidy, not an extension to 2035. Cumulative subsidies to the end of 2025 are £8.72bn, against the earlier figure of about £7bn.
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- Written by: J C Burke
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Political Prejudice Against Natural Gas and Biomethane
The Fundamental Policy Distortion
Western energy policy has become irrationally fixated on "electrify everything" while systematically prejudicing against natural gas and biomethane solutions - despite their superior technical, economic, and even environmental characteristics.
Part 1: The "Fossil Fuel" Misnomer
1.1 The Term "Fossil Fuel" as Political Weapon
What It Implies:
- Ancient, finite, "dead" resources
- Dirty, polluting, outdated technology
- Something to be eliminated and replaced
The Reality: Natural gas and biomethane are NOT equivalent to coal or oil in either origin or impact.
1.2 Natural Gas: "Fossil" or Abiogenic?
The Unexamined Question:
- Substantial scientific debate about whether natural gas is actually "fossil" fuel at all
- Abiogenic (non-biological) origin theories propose continuous formation deep in Earth's mantle
- Russian and Ukrainian scientists have long held this view
- Would explain why "depleted" gas fields sometimes refill
- If true, natural gas is renewable on human timescales
Key Evidence:
- Methane found in areas with no biological history
- Hydrocarbons found in meteorites and on other planets
- Deep Earth chemistry capable of producing methane
- Discovery of gas at depths far below any biological material
Why This Matters: If natural gas is abiogenic, the entire "fossil fuel" framing collapses. Even if partially biogenic, calling it "fossil" fuel creates false equivalence with coal.
1.3 Biomethane: Deliberately Ignored
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Based on our research into UK Government DUKES data and related industry sources, here are the most significant CHP and CCHP installations in the UK:
Major Large-Scale CHP Installations
Largest CHP Plants:
- VPI Immingham CHP (Lincolnshire)
- Saltend Power Station (East Yorkshire)
- 1,200 MW CCGT CHP plant on the Humber Estuary Tritonpower
- Provides power and steam to adjacent Saltend Chemicals Park Ssethermal
- Teesside REP/MGT Teesside Biomass CHP (Teesside)
- 299 MW biomass-powered CHP plant Power Technology
- Uses over 2.4 Mt of wood pellets annually Power Technology
- Wilton Power Station (Teesside)
- 197 MW fossil fuel CHP serving chemical complex Wikipedia
- Four CHP units with combined capacity up to 200 MW and 460 tonnes/hour steam output POWER Magazine
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- Written by: Claude (AI) as directed by John Burke
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Iron-Salt Batteries: The Missing Link in Local Energy Systems
Upgrading CHP Infrastructure for True Energy Independence
The UK's energy strategy has taken a perplexing turn. Despite proven examples of efficient local energy systems like Islington's Bunhill Heat Network and Southampton's geothermal-CHP evolution, policy continues to favour centralized mega-projects that burden consumers while benefiting developers. However, emerging iron-salt battery technology from Germany offers a pathway to complete the distributed energy puzzle that has been decades in the making.
The Distributed Energy Vision
Local Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems represent energy efficiency at its most practical. By generating electricity where it's needed and capturing waste heat for productive use, CHP eliminates the 60-70% energy losses typical of centralized power generation and transmission. The Bunhill Heat Network exemplifies this approach, combining CHP with waste heat recovery from London Underground ventilation systems to create a truly integrated local energy ecosystem.
Southampton's evolution from geothermal heating to comprehensive CHP district systems demonstrates how local energy infrastructure develops organically, building on existing assets rather than requiring massive upfront investments in entirely new systems.
The Storage Gap
Despite their efficiency advantages, local CHP systems have traditionally lacked one crucial component: long-duration energy storage. While CHP provides reliable baseload power, the integration of local renewables - rooftop solar, small wind systems - creates variable generation that needs to be balanced over extended periods.
Lithium batteries, with their fire risks, degradation issues, and 8-10 year lifespans, are poorly suited to the multi-decade service life expected from CHP infrastructure. What local energy systems need is storage technology that matches the durability, safety, and economic profile of the CHP plants themselves.
Enter Iron-Salt Battery Technology
German companies like VoltStorage and research institutions including Fraunhofer UMSICHT have developed iron-salt battery systems that fill this exact gap. These systems use abundant materials - iron, salt, and water - to provide Long Duration Energy Storage (LDES) with remarkable characteristics:
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- Written by: John Burke and AI assistance
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The catastrophic sub station fire in Hayes, London - which supplies Heathrow Airport has demontrated several issues.
The catastrophic substation fire in Hayes, London, on March 21, 2025, which disrupted power to Heathrow Airport and thousands of surrounding homes, has exposed critical vulnerabilities in the region’s energy infrastructure. This incident has grounded flights, affected over 1,300 scheduled operations, and highlighted systemic issues in power supply reliability, backup systems, and resilience planning. The key issues demonstrated by this event and additionally Combined Heat and Power (CHP) as a potential alternative, focusing on its relevance to this scenario.
Issues Demonstrated by the Hayes Substation Fire
- Single Point of Failure in Power Infrastructure
The fire at the North Hyde substation, which supplies Heathrow—one of the world’s busiest airports—revealed a significant dependency on a centralized power source. When the substation failed, it not only cut power to the airport but also impacted over 16,300 homes initially, with around 4,900 still without power by early Friday morning. The fact that a single incident could paralyze such a critical transport hub and a large residential area underscores the fragility of relying heavily on one substation without sufficient redundancy. - Inadequate Backup Systems
UK Energy Secretary Ed Miliband noted that the fire was so severe it damaged "the potential backup generation" for Heathrow, rendering contingency measures ineffective. This suggests that the existing backup systems—likely diesel generators or secondary grid connections—were either insufficiently robust or too closely tied to the primary substation’s infrastructure. The inability to quickly switch to an alternative power source prolonged the airport’s closure and disrupted global travel networks. - Logistical and Economic Fallout
The closure of Heathrow until midnight on March 21 has led to over 1,300 flight cancellations or diversions, stranding passengers and creating a "logistical nightmare" for airlines. The ripple effects extend globally, with flights from as far as Singapore, the US, and Australia diverted or canceled. Locally, the power outage disrupted businesses and households, amplifying the economic cost. This highlights the broader consequences of energy infrastructure failures in critical areas. - Lack of Resilience to Extreme Events
Despite upgrades to the North Hyde substation in 2021, which included new transformers and circuits to enhance reliability, the system still succumbed to a "catastrophic" fire. The cause remains under investigation, but the incident raises questions about whether current infrastructure is designed to withstand rare but severe events—whether accidental, environmental, or otherwise. Aging equipment could further exacerbate such risks. - Delayed Response and Recovery
Although the London Fire Brigade brought the blaze under control by 6:28 GMT, power restoration efforts by National Grid have been slow, with no clear timeline for full recovery. This reflects challenges in repairing complex electrical infrastructure under emergency conditions and the difficulty of rerouting power from alternative sources in a timely manner.
Combined Heat and Power (CHP) as an Alternative
Combined Heat and Power (CHP), also known as cogeneration, is a decentralized energy system that simultaneously generates electricity and useful heat from a single fuel source, typically natural gas, biomass, or biogas. Unlike traditional power plants that waste heat as a byproduct, CHP captures it for heating or cooling purposes, achieving efficiencies of up to 80-90% compared to 30-50% for conventional grid systems. Here’s how CHP could address the issues exposed by the Hayes fire, with emphasis on its potential role at Heathrow and beyond:
- Decentralized Power Generation
Installing CHP units at or near Heathrow could reduce reliance on a single external substation like North Hyde. By generating power on-site, the airport could maintain operations during grid failures, mitigating the single-point-of-failure risk. For instance, a CHP plant sized to meet Heathrow’s base load (estimated at tens of megawatts for such a large facility) could keep critical systems—runways, terminals, and air traffic control—running independently. - Enhanced Backup and Resilience
CHP systems can serve as a robust backup or primary power source, operating in "island mode" during outages. Unlike the compromised backup generators in this incident, a well-designed CHP system could be isolated from external grid failures and fueled independently (e.g., via gas pipelines or stored fuel). Pairing CHP with battery storage could further ensure uninterrupted power during transitions or fuel supply disruptions. - Energy Efficiency and Cost Savings
Heathrow’s extensive heating and cooling needs—terminals, hangars, and support facilities—make it an ideal candidate for CHP. The captured heat could replace less efficient boilers, reducing energy costs and carbon emissions. For example, a gas-fired CHP unit could supply electricity to the airport while piping hot water or steam to heat buildings, cutting reliance on grid electricity and standalone heating systems. - Reduced Grid Strain
By generating power locally, CHP could alleviate demand on the National Grid, particularly during peak times or emergencies. This would benefit surrounding areas like Hayes and Hounslow, where thousands of homes lost power. A network of smaller CHP installations across critical infrastructure and communities could distribute the load, preventing widespread outages when a substation fails. - Environmental Benefits
While the immediate focus post-fire is reliability, CHP offers a greener alternative to traditional grid power, especially if fueled by renewable biogas or paired with solar thermal systems. Heathrow, which handled 83.9 million passengers in 2024, has sustainability goals that CHP could support by lowering its carbon footprint compared to coal- or gas-heavy grid electricity.
Challenges of Implementing CHP in This Context
- Initial Investment: Retrofitting Heathrow with CHP requires significant upfront costs for equipment, installation, and integration. However, long-term savings and reliability gains could justify this, especially for a high-stakes facility.
- Space Constraints: Airports are space-intensive, and finding room for CHP units could be tricky, though modular systems exist that might fit within existing infrastructure.
- Fuel Dependency: Most CHP systems rely on natural gas, introducing a dependency on gas networks or storage. Diversifying fuel sources (e.g., biogas, oil, aviation fuels, or hydrogen(??)) could mitigate this.
- Regulatory and Planning Hurdles: Deploying CHP would need approval from local authorities, National Grid, and aviation regulators, potentially delaying implementation.
Conclusion
The Hayes substation fire has laid bare the risks of centralized power dependency, inadequate backups, and insufficient resilience in critical infrastructure like Heathrow Airport. CHP offers a compelling alternative by decentralizing power generation, enhancing efficiency, and providing a reliable backup. For Heathrow, a tailored CHP system could ensure operational continuity during grid failures while supporting sustainability goals. Beyond the airport, deploying CHP in surrounding areas could bolster community resilience, reducing the cascading impacts seen in this incident. While not a panacea, CHP merits serious consideration as part of a broader strategy to rethink energy infrastructure in the wake of such a disruptive event.